Been an interesting year.

[greybeard]

Does this 5 day forecast look odd?

Here's why--this is the computer model ensemble's best guess as what is going to be happening in the next few days. Some of the professionals do think it will make the turn to the NE but overall, most see a partial landfall in Fla and Ga and then a turn to the East with a loop back toward Fla or even into the GOM.

 

[frustratedearthmother]

Oh HEEL TO THE NO! In the words of my grandkids: I CAN NOT WANT IT!

 

[Mike CHS]

Those storms are why I no longer live on the Gulf Coast. You probably remember but In 2004 Hurricane Ivan hit land over my home in NW Florida and headed NE. A few days later it circles around and came back into the Gulf heading west toward you folks on the west side of the Gulf.

 

[Hens and Roos]

Prayers for you and your family @greybeard

 

[AClark]

Here's hoping everyone that lives in that area stays safe and dry. I watched some things on the weather channel about it last night after a mass message from work yesterday. I've been trying to get in touch with a friend in FL since yesterday but can't seem to get ahold of her.

Grey, well wishes for your twin and you!

 

[greybeard]

Those storms are why I no longer live on the Gulf Coast. You probably remember but In 2004 Hurricane Ivan hit land over my home in NW Florida and headed NE. A few days later it circles around and came back into the Gulf heading west toward you folks on the west side of the Gulf.

Yes, I remember Ivan. Just a depression when it finally got to Texas. Tropical storms are just one of the many natural risks we deal with--there are risks of different types no matter where we live. I've survived Carla, Allison, Rita, Alicia, another Allison, Rosa, Ike, and numerous other tropical storms, as well as some nasty ones while aboard ship or stationed on land in the Pacific. By far, the worst were Carla, Rita, the 2nd Allison, Rosa, and Ike. Rosa was a Pacific storm, that crossed Texas from the Baja and dumped heavy rain on the watershed here in East Texas in 1994--which is still the flood of record for the river that is my Eastern property line. As bad as the flooding was this last spring, we were still 3' less than what Rosa dropped on us.

I lived nearly 10 ears in San Angelo Texas, and went thru severe drought and the ever present risk of tornado, with the "take shelter" sirens going off on average of once/month. I'll take tropical risks over that any time.

 

[greybeard]

Here's hoping everyone that lives in that area stays safe and dry. I watched some things on the weather channel about it last night after a mass message from work yesterday. I've been trying to get in touch with a friend in FL since yesterday but can't seem to get ahold of her.

Grey, well wishes for your twin and you!

Many thousands without electricity there, and unless it has come back up this morning, even NOAA/NWS/ NHC website hasn't been up since late yesterday. Servers knocked off line.

 

[Mini Horses]

Greybeard, I wish continuing improvement & good health for you and your brother.

As to this storm, I watch them all closely as they have a mind of their own. Being 50 miles inland from Va Beach, VA, instead of right ON the beach (as I used to be) has it's plus but, still can get hammered.

I remember Andrew in FL early 90's....wiped out Homestead, FL. where I had just left that AM without realizing it was even out there!! Then spent 6 months there while our crews repaired our apartment buildings. Don't want more of that!!

 

[greybeard]

I got a taste of Andrew as well, when I lived in New Iberia La. After destroying Homestead Fla, it crossed the GOM and came ashore near Morgan City and came right up the Atchafalya Basin. It's the only storm I ever evacuated from and that was because I and my 4 kids lived in a tin can (mobile home). I lived less than 10 miles from Cypremort Point. We were lucky--returned home from Houston to find front end of our wheeled home knocked off it's blocks & tie downs but other than that, very much in livable condition. Jacked it up, moved the blocks and re-installed the tie downs and waited for the electricity to come back on.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Andrew#Louisiana

 

[OneFineAcre]

I'm a Hugo, Fran, and Floyd veteran.

This is one of the most memorable images from Floyd