OneFineAcre
Herd Master
A little light reading compliments of the North Carolina Department of Emergency Management. This is the shift briefing as of 7am this morning.
Heads on a swivel you folks on Eastern Seaboard. Flo's coming.
- Thread starter greybeard
- Start date
Southern by choice
Herd Master
@greybeard yeah, that was just our daily thunderstorm... we have them everyday right now. Everything is already saturated.
Had a friend contact for an old friend that I'd lost contact with. They had offered their place they just bought for us and all our animals... they haven't even moved in yet... and shared there are plenty of buildings, fences, and an empty house. They are out of state.
I feel so humbled that they would offer this to us.
We have no trailers to move our livestock anyway. But I sure thought it was so very kind and generous.
This single event that hasn't even happened yet does have me thinking. Perhaps we need to reduce our herd to the point of being able to load and roll.
I have a busy day today to prepare. So worried for all the folks farther East and on the coast.
My daughter is East and won't come home. I am going to ask DH to send her a text and tell her "this is your father! Come home!"
Don't care how old she is she is still my baby girl and always will be. She is in a flood plane.
Had a friend contact for an old friend that I'd lost contact with. They had offered their place they just bought for us and all our animals... they haven't even moved in yet... and shared there are plenty of buildings, fences, and an empty house. They are out of state.
I feel so humbled that they would offer this to us.
We have no trailers to move our livestock anyway. But I sure thought it was so very kind and generous.
This single event that hasn't even happened yet does have me thinking. Perhaps we need to reduce our herd to the point of being able to load and roll.
I have a busy day today to prepare. So worried for all the folks farther East and on the coast.
My daughter is East and won't come home. I am going to ask DH to send her a text and tell her "this is your father! Come home!"
Don't care how old she is she is still my baby girl and always will be. She is in a flood plane.
Bunnylady
Herd Master
The eastbound lanes of I-26 from Charleston to Columbia, SC are being reversed to aid in the process of evacuation. The subject of lane reversal for I-40 from Wilmington has been explored in the past, but a recent study has indicated that it might do more harm than good.
Local folks seem to be taking this seriously. Some folks have already evacuated; there are lines at gas stations and grocery stores as people prepare to either brace in place or make a run to higher ground. There is always the worry that the media drama which inevitably surrounds tropical weather may lead to been-there-done-that complacency or, conversely, panic, but what I've seen so far has been tense but sensible.
Local folks seem to be taking this seriously. Some folks have already evacuated; there are lines at gas stations and grocery stores as people prepare to either brace in place or make a run to higher ground. There is always the worry that the media drama which inevitably surrounds tropical weather may lead to been-there-done-that complacency or, conversely, panic, but what I've seen so far has been tense but sensible.
- Thread starter
- #45
greybeard
Herd Master
we are getting almost daily tstorms too. Short duration but it's adding up but it is that time of year.
Elevation versus gradient have to be considered when deciding whether to evacuate. 60 miles to my NE and North, the terrain turns decidedly more hilly and the water runs off much better than here in the flatlands. My time in North Carolina, I remember a lot of hilly terrain, but that may not be the case in your daughter's area. I would certainly implore her to leave if there is a real danger & risk of flooding. May only happen once in a lifetime but that is still in one's life.
imagery indicates that the
amplifying large-scale flow pattern across CONUS is inducing a
downstream ridge over the western Atlantic, with a high pressure
cell centered northwest of Bermuda. This blocking ridge pattern is
expected to keep Florence moving west-northwestward to northwest at
around 15 kt for the next 48 hours or so. However, embedded within
the large-scale flow is a weak shortwave trough over the central and
southern Plains that is expected to eject out northeastward and
weaken the ridging across the mid-Atlantic and southeastern U.S.,
causing Florence to slow down significantly in 72 hours as the
powerful hurricane approaches the Carolinas. On days 4 and 5, an
even slower motion or drift to the west and northwest is forecast,
which will exacerbate the heavy rainfall threat.
Elevation versus gradient have to be considered when deciding whether to evacuate. 60 miles to my NE and North, the terrain turns decidedly more hilly and the water runs off much better than here in the flatlands. My time in North Carolina, I remember a lot of hilly terrain, but that may not be the case in your daughter's area. I would certainly implore her to leave if there is a real danger & risk of flooding. May only happen once in a lifetime but that is still in one's life.
imagery indicates that the
amplifying large-scale flow pattern across CONUS is inducing a
downstream ridge over the western Atlantic, with a high pressure
cell centered northwest of Bermuda. This blocking ridge pattern is
expected to keep Florence moving west-northwestward to northwest at
around 15 kt for the next 48 hours or so. However, embedded within
the large-scale flow is a weak shortwave trough over the central and
southern Plains that is expected to eject out northeastward and
weaken the ridging across the mid-Atlantic and southeastern U.S.,
causing Florence to slow down significantly in 72 hours as the
powerful hurricane approaches the Carolinas. On days 4 and 5, an
even slower motion or drift to the west and northwest is forecast,
which will exacerbate the heavy rainfall threat.
Mini Horses
Herd Master
MY BAD -- I'm thinking Williamston, not Wilmington
I'm 4 hrs from you....still, not far.
Donna R. Raybon
Loving the herd life
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Highway patrol heavy on I 40 and I 81 here! Traffic heavy going west and north.
This storm is as wide as the state of Tennessee is long!!!! Authorities are saying you do not have to be in flood plain as this is such a huge storm it is going to flood where it has never flooded in previous storms.
This storm is as wide as the state of Tennessee is long!!!! Authorities are saying you do not have to be in flood plain as this is such a huge storm it is going to flood where it has never flooded in previous storms.
Bunnylady
Herd Master
Just when you think it can't get any crazier, some model runs start showing a building high pressure ridge stopping all forward progress just off the NC coast, then a slow southward track with actual landfall down near Georgia. I thought the models were supposed to converge the closer you get to landfall, not diverge.
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Mini Horses
Herd Master
You just never know! Seems a very strong front in Ohio---wow -- is holding the northern track down.
One thing we do know we can depend upon -- we are all going to get huge amounts of RAIN! On the coast, with ocean surge, it will be an even worse situation.
Appears my area will get less wind, still heavy winds. Whew. Sorry about everyone else -- we just know this rascal is certainly going to impact a lot of areas and people!!! It isn't a false threat for those further to the North, just how things move.
Outer Banks people in NC are at a pivotal area. Evacuations are there....some stayed, some left. Here, Navy moved ships and 75+ planes. Flooding on the base is a real threat.
Changes from hour to hour.
One thing we do know we can depend upon -- we are all going to get huge amounts of RAIN! On the coast, with ocean surge, it will be an even worse situation.
Appears my area will get less wind, still heavy winds. Whew. Sorry about everyone else -- we just know this rascal is certainly going to impact a lot of areas and people!!! It isn't a false threat for those further to the North, just how things move.
Outer Banks people in NC are at a pivotal area. Evacuations are there....some stayed, some left. Here, Navy moved ships and 75+ planes. Flooding on the base is a real threat.
Changes from hour to hour.
goatgurl
Herd Master
my heart just hurts for all of you east coasters. this sure isn't going to be pretty. the rest of us can only watch and pray for your safety. please get your prepping done and then hunker down and stay safe.
