Help needed please...trying to save my eight month old doe, got her in august ,

[greybeard]

You are one cool person, you are like my husband...he always knows what the weather is doing , stays on top of it like you

My interest in weather phenomena notwithstanding, I have been fooled occasionally and it's usually a doozy when I am.
About 1 year ago from my back porch:

 

[Bunnylady]

I am not worried about us, although it's raining all is looking safer for us than above us

I do not mean to alarm you, or anyone else, just throwing this out there - nowhere within the circulation is truly "safe" when it comes to land falling hurricanes. As the storm encounters land, shear on the rotating bands causes whorls to form within the embedded thunderstorms, which can result in relatively weak (F1 or F2) tornadoes. During Florence, the NWS office in Wilmington spotted rotation within thunderstorms that resulted in them issuing a tornado warning 35 times; surveys of the areas after the storm has confirmed the formation of at least 10 of them. Some of these storms were in areas like New Bern and Goldsboro; 100 miles or more from the point where the storm officially made landfall. Monitor, and pay attention to any warnings in your area - it could save your life! A decade or so ago, the remnants of a storm that went in through the gulf passed through here during the overnight hours a day or more later. There was barely enough left to make a radar signature, but there was enough energy to spin up a weak tornado that tossed some trailers around and killed 3 people in the Castle Hayne area.

 

[Green Acres Farm]

I hope you’re ok! I’m in Tallahassee, so we’ll be getting hit, too.

 

[Wehner Homestead]

I hope you’re ok! I’m in Tallahassee, so we’ll be getting hit, too.

Prayers for y’all!!

 

[Green Acres Farm]

Thank you! It’s supposed to pass over us quickly and I think we’ll be ok. The goats have above ground, 4-sided shelters so I think they’ll be safe from wind and flooding.

 

[greybeard]

"quickly" is a realtive term...
With 100mph+ winds extending 25 miles out and minimum hurricane force winds (75mph) extending 45 miles out in all directions, and forward speed after landfall expected to only increase to about 20mph at most until the storm is picked up by the west to east jet, you can expect at least 5 hrs of hurricane force winds anywhere the first part of this sentence holds true.
I don't think it will quite make it to Cat5 but 919mb is really getting down there tho.

Hurricane Michael
Last Updated: 10/10/2018, 12:00:00 PM (Central Daylight Time)
Location: 29.9 N 85.7 W Movement: NNE at 12 mph Wind: 150 mph Pressure: 919 mb

 

[greybeard]

Be careful of flying and moving debris out there.

This currently....pushing Cat 5 threshold as it makes landfall.
155mph SUSTAINED winds!!

From NHC/NOAA as of 1:00pm CDT:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/101836.shtml?

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
BULLETIN
Hurricane Michael Intermediate Advisory Number 16A...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142018
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 10 2018
Corrected pressure in inches in summary block and text
...MICHAEL INTENSIFIES AS IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR MEXICO BEACH
FLORIDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS...AND HEAVY
RAINFALL OCCURING OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.0N 85.5W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM NW OF MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM SE OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...919 MB...27.14 INCHES
----------------------
Satellite, aircraft, and radar data indicate that the eye of
Michael is making landfall just northwest of Mexico Beach, Florida.
At 100 PM CDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Michael was located
near latitude 30.0 North, longitude 85.5 West. Michael is moving
toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h). A turn toward the
northeast is expected this afternoon or tonight. A motion toward the
northeast at a faster forward speed is forecast on Thursday through
Friday night. On the forecast track, the core of Michael will move
inland across the Florida Panhandle this afternoon, and across
southeastern Alabama and southwestern Georgia tonight....
ecent data from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to
near 155 mph (250 km/h) with higher gusts. Michael is an extremely
dangerous category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind
Scale. Michael should weaken as it crosses the southeastern United
States. Michael is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone on
Friday, and strengthening is forecast as the system moves over the
western Atlantic.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175
miles (280 km). A wind gust of 130 mph (210 mph) was recently
reported at a University of Florida/Weatherflow observing site near
Tyndall Air Force Base before the instrument failed. A wind gust to
129 mph (207 km/h) was reported at the Panama City Airport.
The latest minimum central pressure based on data from an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 919 mb (27.14 inches).
A minimum pressure of 920 mb was recently reported by a University
of Florida/Weatherflow observing site near Tyndall Air Force Base.

 

[Wehner Homestead]

Careful! They’ll be making alternate versions of this one soon!

 

[greybeard]

If you've never been in one, watch (and listen) to the last 20 minutes of this almost real time landfall video at Panama City Beach.
https://wtop.com/national/2018/10/watch-live-webcams-show-hurricane-michaels-impact/

I have no idea why they keep leaving the door open and trashing their home..but last 3-4 minutes, watch the top of the door closely, as the wind flexes it, and allows light in thru the door facing.
Tho I think they are beyond foolish for staying, I do hope they survive it.

 

[greybeard]

Careful! They’ll be making alternate versions of this one soon!

Yes, there are some out there that look real but are not really......I have no idea if that one is genuine or not, but the following one has definitely been proven a fake...from Great Britain.

(You will have to turn the volume up a lot)